Break It and You Fix It

An interesting and unexpected thing might just help explain the impending British election.

The Brexit vote a few months back was VERY close and many commentators expressed the view that it passed because it was widely expected to fail. People against it apparently failed to vote assuming they did not need to because the outcome was so clear?

Unsurprisingly, many people thought the vote was flawed and should be rerun. In the process David Cameron lost his post as Prime Minister and Theresa May succeeded him promising to execute the will of that vote.

The early maneuvering to exit the European Union has now occurred with more negotiations still ahead. Yet most leading analysts insist that the exit is a very serious mistake for Britain—economically, politically, and financially.

Apparently sensing an easy opportunity to increase her Parliamentary majority, Mrs. May called for a snap election to extend her term, increase her majority, and strengthen her hand at the negotiating table with Europe. That general vote for a new Parliament is now at hand.

In an unexpected twist, May’s polling lead has fallen from 20% to less than 10%. Signs now indicate that her majority might be in serious jeopardy.

By the process of elimination, there can only be one reason why that is happening.

Britain has repeatedly and very recently shown no appetite for Jeremy Corbyn and a Labor majority.

It is therefore becoming apparent that British voters, whose nonchalance permitted Brexit to occur, may have seized on this election as a proxy for redoing the Brexit vote, presuming that Article 50 can also be undone.

If May falls, the whole Brexit situation will quickly become chaos, which would likely lead to another national vote on Brexit to clear up the confusion on that front and another snap vote to find out which party the country really favors.

To make matters even more confusing, May’s survival now will leave her weakened at home politically and in Europe at the negotiating table. She may need to seek a new round of voting, unencumbered by the Brexit issue.

It seems a stretch to suggest that all of this may have been part of an intricate long term plot to get rid of the stuffy Cameron. But whatever the motives of UK voters, an exit from the EU at this precipitous moment would leave the two leading English-speaking nations isolated from their essential and historic military and economic partners.

The prospect of such a dangerous outcome might yet compel the parties to come together to  fix the European Union’s agreed upon flaws!

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s